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Sunday, December 27, 2009

14th Motilal Oswal Wealth Creation Study : Winner Categories & Category Winners

By Saisha Jones

The 14th Motilal Oswal Wealth Creation Study was held on 17th Dec -2009. Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal, Managing Director of Motilal Oswal Group, commissions an Annual Wealth Creation Study every consecutive year. The Motilal Oswal 14th Annual Wealth Creation Study (2004-09) is divided into three parts i.e. Wealth Creation Theme: Winner Categories + Category Winners = Formula for Wealth Creation in the NTD Era, The Wealth Creation Study Findings & Market Outlook.

Wealth Creation Study findings analyzes the top 100 wealth creating companies during the period 2004-09. Wealth created is calculated as change in the market cap of companies between 2003 and 2009, duly adjusted for corporate events such as mergers, de-mergers, fresh issuance of capital, buyback, etc.

Unitech was the Fastest Wealth Creator in FY09, for the second time in a row. Its 5-year stock price CAGR is a staggering 122%. Reliance Industries emerged as the biggest wealth creator for the third time in a row. It created 1514 billion RS worth of wealth contributing 15.6% of total wealth created in FY09. HDFC was ranked as the most consistent by virtue of its 10-year price CAGR being the highest. Five companies - HDFC, Sun Pharma, Reliance Inds, Hero Honda and Infosys - featured among the top 100 wealth creators in each of the last 10 years.

A Winning Formula For Wealth Creation was the theme for this year's wealth creation study

The formula for Winner Categories was the blend of Categories benefiting from India's Next Trillion Dollar GDP opportunity & their Scalability. The formula for category winners was the combination of the winner categories, the entry barriers & the great management. The formula used for the winning investments was the combination of the category winners & the respective reasonable valuation. The most important recipe for the Wealth Creation Study was the combination of the Winner Categories & the Category Winners.

Winner Categories: India's NTD Era will see a huge boom in consumption and savings/investment, which will throw up several Winner Categories i.e. those which grow at over 1.5x GDP growth rate, and are consolidated in nature. The study identifies 21 Winner Categories which are Alcoholic beverages, Auto - 2 - wheelers, Auto - Cars & SUVs , Auto - Tractors, Capital Goods - Power equipment, Construction, Engineering - Turnkey, Finance -Banks & Private sector, Finance - Banks & Public sector, Finance - Brokerages, Finance - Credit rating, Finance - Housing, FMCG - Personal Care, FMCG - Processed Food, Gas distribution, Infrastructure, Insurance, Media - Entertainment , Real Estate, Retailing , Telecom.

Category Winners: These are companies from Winner Categories, which have great managements and high Entry Barriers. Great management is one which successfully defends or even increases Entry Barriers and manages growth at least in line with category. Entry Barriers is a simpler term for sustainable competitive advantage - The existence of barriers to entry means that incumbent firms are able to do what potential rivals cannot. Being able to do what rivals cannot is the definition of competitive advantage.

Winning investments: The category winner in Auto (2 wheelers) was Hero Honda, Auto (Cars & SUVs) was Maruti Suzuki, Auto (Cars & UVs/tractors) was Mahindra & Mahindra, Capital Goods (Power equipment) was BHEL. Category Winners are those that at reasonable (not necessarily cheap) valuation create significant wealth over the long term. The study constructs a model portfolio for the NTD Era, based on the above principles. This portfolio would have outperformed the markets if purchased any time during the last five years.

The category winner in Engineering (Turnkey) was Larsen and Toubro, Finance (Banks & Private Sector) was HDFC Bank, Finance (Banks & Public Sector) was SBI, Finance (Credit rating) was CRISIL, Finance (Housing) was HDFC, FMCG (Personal Care) was Dabur India, FMCG (Processed food) was Nestle India, Infrastructure was Mundra Port, Media (Entertainment) was Sun TV, Retailing was Pantaloon Retail & Telecom was Bharti Airtel.

It can be concluded that the NTD Era will be marked by sustained boom in investment, discretionary spend, and savings. Winner Categories and Category Winners will enjoy exponential growth in profits. Category Winners bought at reasonable valuation will create significant wealth over the long term. - 23199

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Understanding the Basics of the Foreign Exchange Markets

By Damian Papworth

Every day, the world's many currencies are traded in Foreign Exchange Markets, sometimes referred to as "Forex" or "FX" Markets. The largest and most liquid of all financial markets, the amount of volume in trading on FX Markets daily is staggering - close to $4 trillion dollars U.S., one-third of which takes place in London.

Anyone who has ever changed money in a foreign country has gotten a taste of this system on its most basic level. Over the course of an extended visit in a foreign country, a traveler is sure to notice the rises and falls in the exchange rate.

To take a closer look at FX Markets in action, it is useful to peruse the financial section of any newspaper. Where the currencies are listed, readers will notice a "bid" price listed along with an "ask" price. Since banks set the "ask" price, it will be slightly marked up in order to accommodate a transaction fee. If a person wished to sell the same currency, they would be offered the "bid" price by the bank, which is lower. The spread between these figures is one of the methods used by large banks to profit in Forex trading, which is a volume-dominated market.

The different strategies employed by investors in Forex Markets are fascinating. Some investors will look for longer terms of trends in the market, a steady devaluation or a rise in the currency's strength. At the same time, short-term speculation is highly common and can lead to substantial profits if an investor can read the trend correctly.

Because Forex Markets are profitable only when a tremendous amount of money is involved, the average stock market investor may see them as out of reach. The largest banks, which are also the ones setting the bid vs. ask price and getting access to these quotes, control the majority of transactions in the FX markets. Close to 80% of deals made everyday in the Forex Markets are transacted by one of the world's 10 biggest banks. Companies like JP Morgan, Barclay's and Deutsche Bank set the tone.

Speculation is behind much of the trading in the Foreign Exchange Market and for this reason it is a popular place for hedge funds to do business on a daily basis. The aggressive investment strategy typical of hedge funds is effective in Forex trading because it can outweigh other factors affecting the rates, such as government intervention on behalf of a plunging currency.

The reasons why a country's currency may become stronger or weaker are numerous. National budget deficits can contribute, as well as the ability of a government of handle a budget surplus. Overall GDP growth is always important, as well as political developments.

One unique characteristic of the FX Markets is they never close during weekdays. Trading goes from New York to Europe to Asia, until the New York markets resume in the morning. - 23199

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The Best Forex Software Trading Can Make You Great Profits

By John Adams

It is a fact that these days even the experts seek the help of forex softwares to enhance their performance, and that is so for a simple reason: a forex software, if reliable, will get them into over 90% winning trades, many of which will be placed by the forex software during the night time, when we humans are sleeping.

With Forex software, trading decisions can be made objectively and therefore, less likely to be affected by the individual's emotions. They follow the parameters that have been set and unquestioningly make decisions based on how they have been programmed. If and when the market conditions match the pre-programmed criteria, the forex software or robot will then make a trade or exit the market at the first opportunity. Hence, it will consistently and accurately follow the pattern or trend that it has been programmed with.

Another way a forex software package proves useful is in execution of your previously determined trading regimen. The currency markets move quite quickly. Having software assist in the identification of applicable trade opportunities ensures you are able to act in time. Software also proves beneficial in that it prevents your well thought out strategy from being disregarded due to the emergence of counterproductive emotions.

There are a variety of factors that may render a human trader less successful than the Forex software. Driven by greed, fear or doubt, human traders do not adhere to pre-defined levels. Knowledge and experience are indubitably vital, but human traders must learn to trade without emotions so that they can avoid making wrong decisions.

The guarantee is very important, because even if you get your hands on the best forex software you still will need time to familiarize with it and use it on a demo account for a few days before you put it to work on real money. If you follow these guidelines, you are certain to choose the best forex software thus ensuring a safe and profitable trading operation right from the start. - 23199

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IvyBot Can Adpot To Future Changes In The Currency Market

By John Adams

If you are a neophyte and dreaming of getting ahead in the forex market, you should first learn the basics. It is important to have knowledge on currency trading market in order not to be entrapped in forex scams. But lately with the introduction of automated robots, trading has been that easy and enjoyable. The birth of this automaton made a remarkable change in the forex trading scenario. Ivybot is an amazing software device that even beginners in foreign exchange trading can easily make profit.

Let's throw a light on its history in order to see who the founder of this Forex robot is? The answer is that it was a combined effort of the developers that belong to Ivy League. Each one of them has some specialty in certain related fields. They worked and tested this robot over 9 years. Actually, they wanted to build a system that would be able to work on any trading platform. IvyBot is indeed a great advancement in the filed of Forex robots.

Not only that, the IvyBot creators made it possible to continuously keep the robot updated as well. This service is already part of the initial purchase price of the robot and is accessible to a part of their website which only members can access. The robot saves money for its user because of the continuous free update service. Plus, these upgrades add in the changes that have been caused by market unpredictability and behaviour.

Because Ivybot Forex is fully automated you can expect that it will make daily trading easier and simpler. You do not need to closely monitor your trading because the software will take care of your transactions and still you can attend to your other endeavors as well.

We all know that trading robots are becoming popular in currency trading market nowadays. But still the decision is in your hands as to what robot you will pick and what will fit to your needs. There are many links and sites available for you to decide. With foreign exchange robots you can finally be able to trade in your terms and rules and have total control of your trading. - 23199

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Work From Your Front Room And Trade Like A Professional

By John Adams

It seems that just a short time ago, all of the trading in the foreign currency exchange was done manually. Traders were constantly evaluating the changing market conditions, doing trend analyses, and trying to time up the trades so that they could increase the opportunities for high returns. Then technology joined in when Forex software was developed and introduced.

While if the performance of existing Forex robots will be observed, they consider the market to find the potential trading chance. If the robot will find any potential chance to win the trade it will snatch it and perform the trade without any individual interference. But the actions of these existing robots leave a huge space to receive non-accepted situations as they do not change their strategy with change in market condition. Most of the robots are designed to trade in specific situations. They can make money under that particular situation but whenever market conditions swing it will start losing money. And this will become the weak point of robots.

Trading on just four pairs and four different algorithms for each pair has helped this trading robot become one of the premier trading systems amongst its competitors. Combine with personal forums and consistent updates from the programmers keeps the system in check and assist in sustaining optimal performance.

Where other systems fail is the lack of dedication to one currency pair and trying to produce a one shoe fits all type of automated software. The Forex market changes on a daily basis, continuously trending, consolidating and cycling, therefore it's only best suited by a system that treats each currency pair as its own.

In addition to the free upgrades, another customer-friendly component of the Ivybot is the money back guarantee. If you use the Ivybot and are not completely satisfied, you may return the Ivybot within 60 days and receive a full money back refund. This gives you an opportunity to test out the Ivybot with little risk for an extended period and determine if this is the right Forex system for you. Finally, looking at all of these features, it may seem like this system would be priced somewhat higher than other robots on the market. The price is a very reasonable $149 for the four robots, free upgrades and the 60-day trial. It is a great opportunity to try it out. - 23199

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