Euro Currency Profile (Part III)
Forex market participants widely watch the comments by the members of the Governing Council of ECB. These comments frequently tend to move the Euro. ECB publishes monthly bulletin detailing analysis of economic conditions. This bulletin can give important signals to changes in the monetary policy.
All major euro crosses are highly liquid. Now EUR/USD cross is the most liquid currency. The movements of EUR/USD currency pair are used as the primary gauge to judge the health of both European and the United States health. Euro is also known as the anti-dollar since it is the dollar fundamentals that have dictated the movements in the EUR/USD pair from 2003-2008.
As they have tight spreads, make orderly moves and rarely gap, EUR/USD and EUR/GBP are great trading currencies. EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are very liquid pairs too and are used to judge the health of the Japanese and Swiss economies. Always remember to understand and study each currency pair in detail. Each currency pair has a unique behavior that you need to understand before you plan to trade that pair.
However, Euro has unique risks. Euro was launched in 1999. It is still a new currency. There are number of risks unique to the Euro. The most important is the exposure to the economic, political and social development of 15 member countries.
Although more countries are expected to join EMU, however, if a member country drops Euro and reverts back to its original national currency because it believes that ECB actions are not in its best interests, it could affect the stability of the entire region.
ECB has the power to determine monetary policy for its 15 member countries. With that comes the political pressure of 15 governments. Making monetary policy is a challenging task to do for one country what to talk of a group of 15 countries. This political pressure frequently tests the actions of ECB. We can say Euro is a currency without a country.
The present global financial crisis is unlike any in the past. However, the rapid response of ECB to the present global financial crisis in the shape of deep liquidity injections has transformed its reputation. The spread between 10 year US Treasuries and 10 year bunds can indicate Euro sentiment.
Another important interest rate that you must know as a forex trader is the Euro Interbank Offer Rate (Euribor). This is the rate offered from one large bank to another on interbank term deposits. Traders and investors tend to compare the Euribor futures rate with the Eurodollars futures rate.
Lower spreads between these two interest rates make the European assets less attractive. Higher spreads between the two rates makes the European fixed income assets more attractive. Merger and Acquisition activities between US and European multinationals have important implications for EUR/USD pair. Large deals have often significant short term impact on EUR/USD if in cash.
Important indicators for Euro are Preliminary GDP that includes France, Germany and Netherlands, German Industrial Production, Harmonized Index of Consumer prices (HICP), M3, German Unemployment, Individual country budget deficit. The largest countries in EMU are Germany, France and Italy. Study of the economic data of these three countries is also important. - 23199
All major euro crosses are highly liquid. Now EUR/USD cross is the most liquid currency. The movements of EUR/USD currency pair are used as the primary gauge to judge the health of both European and the United States health. Euro is also known as the anti-dollar since it is the dollar fundamentals that have dictated the movements in the EUR/USD pair from 2003-2008.
As they have tight spreads, make orderly moves and rarely gap, EUR/USD and EUR/GBP are great trading currencies. EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are very liquid pairs too and are used to judge the health of the Japanese and Swiss economies. Always remember to understand and study each currency pair in detail. Each currency pair has a unique behavior that you need to understand before you plan to trade that pair.
However, Euro has unique risks. Euro was launched in 1999. It is still a new currency. There are number of risks unique to the Euro. The most important is the exposure to the economic, political and social development of 15 member countries.
Although more countries are expected to join EMU, however, if a member country drops Euro and reverts back to its original national currency because it believes that ECB actions are not in its best interests, it could affect the stability of the entire region.
ECB has the power to determine monetary policy for its 15 member countries. With that comes the political pressure of 15 governments. Making monetary policy is a challenging task to do for one country what to talk of a group of 15 countries. This political pressure frequently tests the actions of ECB. We can say Euro is a currency without a country.
The present global financial crisis is unlike any in the past. However, the rapid response of ECB to the present global financial crisis in the shape of deep liquidity injections has transformed its reputation. The spread between 10 year US Treasuries and 10 year bunds can indicate Euro sentiment.
Another important interest rate that you must know as a forex trader is the Euro Interbank Offer Rate (Euribor). This is the rate offered from one large bank to another on interbank term deposits. Traders and investors tend to compare the Euribor futures rate with the Eurodollars futures rate.
Lower spreads between these two interest rates make the European assets less attractive. Higher spreads between the two rates makes the European fixed income assets more attractive. Merger and Acquisition activities between US and European multinationals have important implications for EUR/USD pair. Large deals have often significant short term impact on EUR/USD if in cash.
Important indicators for Euro are Preliminary GDP that includes France, Germany and Netherlands, German Industrial Production, Harmonized Index of Consumer prices (HICP), M3, German Unemployment, Individual country budget deficit. The largest countries in EMU are Germany, France and Italy. Study of the economic data of these three countries is also important. - 23199
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try Strignano's Forex Signals free. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System!
posted by X - Men @ 8:20 AM
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