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Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Finding An Effective ETF Trading System

By Patrick Deaton

The type of ETF trading system that a person chooses is going to be a personal choice that will involve many variables. Depending on whether a person wants to invest in a software program, subscribe to a service, do the research on their own, or use a system that they come up with. There basically is no standard system that everyone uses when they trade.

The system that will work for a new trader will depend on the type of trading that is going to be done, the sectors that will be traded, and the style of trading that a person enjoys. A different system will work more effectively with high risk Leveraged ETFs than with long term ETFs. So, if a trader is going to diversity among several sectors they may need to have different systems in place that will work with each sector.

ETF trading is affected by thousands and millions of tiny details that impact the market. There is no system that can effectively calculate all of the details and their impact on a particular day in the market. Therefore, a person will want to take the time to find a system that most closely meets their needs, then give it a tweak to make it their own. The systems that work for some people will not work for others. Besides the market the system must also meet the personality of the trader. A low risk system, even if it is effective, will not work for a person with a high risk personality.

The easiest system to start with that provides minimal risk and will get a traders feet wet is the EMA system. EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average. It involves following trends, and has a pretty decent risk rating. The ETFs most traded using this system are TLT, XLF, SMH, RTH, and a few others.

The crux of the system is that when the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA a trader goes long. When the slow EMA crosses the fast EMA, the trader goes short. The rule is that a person has to leave or reverse their position the date after the fast EMA and slow EMA cross. And, when the rules have been set up on the days for the EMAs to cross, usually fifteen, the trader needs to stick to them.

As easy as this system is a person will have to do the research on the sectors they are considering and follow their trends to make effective trades. Setting buy and sell limits will help to keep the trading on track.

A good rule of thumb is to set a risk allotment. Set the percentage of the total capital that one is willing to risk on any one position, then stick with it. When the account reaches the minimum don't add more fuel, just move on. The other rule is to set the number of losing trades in a row that will be accepted, then cut back by a set percentage after that loss has been reached.

When choosing the ETF trading system that will be most effective it is important to gain as much knowledge as possible about the system. By using systems which have a history of consistent effectiveness a person will have a better opportunity to use and learn from the system as they get into more complex trading. Seeking the assistance of a professional who has expertise in ETF structure, trading, strategies, and methods will also be extremely helpful in developing a trading system that will be successful. - 23199

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