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Friday, August 28, 2009

Forex Analysis: Which Type Is effective?

By Brad Morgan

The analysis of the Currency market can be classified into two types:

1. Fundamental analysis concerns itself with scrutinizing socio-political and economic forces and concluding their effects on the market.

2. Technical analysis on the contrary , employs graphs and charts to deduce patterns that manifest price movement.

Choosing one over the other is not spontaneous. A cursory surveying of FX trading related forums and websites show traders being uncompromising advocates of either one of these approaches. Those who admire technical analysis assert that graphs are the solitary style that can predict way ahead of time the trends which is decisive to making a profit in trading.

Conversely the proponents of fundamental analysis will defend that it is the economic factors that drive the changes in currency prices and this is assuredly true, at least most of the time. From that stance they will argue that any patterns you might find on a chart are nothing more than coincidental.

That assertion should be taken with a grain of salt. While the direct and gigantic effects of economic changes is incontestable, in post major announcements situations and relatively event and change free times, technical analysis may be of aid in predicting movements.

If on the other hand you rely completely on your charts, you are likely to be caught out when a crucial financial event such as an interest rate change is unanticipatedly announced. You were not giving heed to the financial news and left a trade open at the wrong moment. That can result in calamity.

In the end, it is an irrefutable fact that economic aspects are behind most, if not all of the extreme price movements but it cannot be declined that there are trends that can be predicted by technical analysis for the shorter periods. So identifying these trends while being aware and up to date on current events is the most definite way to envisage direction of future currency rates. Close prediction is of course how one makes a profit on the foreign exchange market.

If we compare the forex market to an elastic object, it can travel in either direction and occasionally, return to the original place. Fundamentals maneuver the market. The extent of the movement and its return point is predicted by technical analysis.

So when you want to profit from foreign exchange trading it is better not to let your concentration to become fixed on either one. You ought to learn to balance the use of both forms of FX market analysis to make steady profits. - 23199

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